AI Market Read
MON market
LIVE2026-10-14 07:23 UTC · coingecko
MON
$0.0248
24h
-0.95%
MCap
$293.57M
FDV
$2.50B
Vol
$15.87M
Circ
11.83B
Current Outlook
Moderately bearish
Short-term weakness inside a broader range
Market regime · High volatility
1D → next 7 days· Engine v2
Signal agreement
83/100 · High
Why this outlook is Moderately bearish
Technical picture
DominantBearish
Strong impact
Broader market
Neutral
Low impact
Derivatives
Slightly bearish
Low impact
On-chain activity
Stable
Low impact
Tokenomics
Balanced
Low impact
Technical picture and tokenomics currently outweigh improving supportive conditions, resulting in a neutral bearish outlook with short-term downside risk.
What changed
Bitcoin momentum shifted
Momentum reading shifted
Top catalyst · EVENT
Metropolis project submissions enter their final hours
Why it matters: lifts builder attention and near-term news flow.
today
Top risk · UNLOCK
The biggest risk is the high unlock pressure, which could significantly impact the price if not managed carefully.
Why it matters: supply overhang often weighs on price into/around the date.
Signal agreement
Major resistance
$0.0255
Breakout zone
$0.0255 – $0.0281
Immediate support
$0.0235
Invalidation
$0.0207
Market structure scores — not directional probabilities
Directional Outlook
Neutral
Bear 57% · Bull 43%
Consolidation Risk 40/100
Daily reclaim above $0.02555
$0.02555-$0.02811
If the price breaks above the immediate resistance at $0.02555, it could open the breakout zone of $0.02555-$0.02811.
Range / consolidation
Hold $0.0235–$0.02555
$0.0235-$0.02555
In a base scenario, the price remains within the current range, supported by $0.0235 and resisted by $0.02555.
Loss of $0.0235
$0.01756-$0.02075
If the price declines below the immediate support at $0.0235, it could lead to the downside zone of $0.01757-$0.02075.
High volatility · thin liquidity · bearish momentum · elevated risk
Trend↓
downtrend
Volatility→
extreme
Liquidity↓
Thin
Momentum↓
bearish
Risk↑
Elevated
Weak momentum — sellers still have the edge
Bearish momentum is fading
Current price context
From 30D high
-30.8%
From 90D low
25.6%
From ATH
-49.2%
Annualized funding
-11.74%
8H -0.0107% · Short-heavy
Open interest
$5.63M
Steady
Long/short
2.13
Crowded long
Basis
-0.114%
·
Relative volume
0.16×
× 20-period average
14 Oct 2026
Medium · todayMetropolis project submissions enter their final hours
long term
14 Oct 2026
Medium · todayMetropolis submissions close in five days
short term
21 Nov 2026
Medium · in 37 daysStrideMon prepares move-to-earn game launch on Monad
short term
24 Nov 2026
High · in 40 daysMajor MON unlock
medium term
Updated 1 min ago · Input coverage 100% · AI-generated market analysis based on available market data. Not financial advice.
AI Market Track Record
13 graded · 3 active · Next evaluation ~4h
Track record is still building.
Reliable percentage statistics unlock after 30 independent graded forecasts.
Directional Accuracyⓘ
5 / 13
Correct Bull / Bear calls
The model called Bearish, and the market moved sideways.
Key Level Accuracy
5 / 13
Correct level outcomes
Measures whether expected support, resistance or invalidation behaved as forecast.
Probability Calibration
Not enough data yet
Unlocks after 30 graded forecasts
AI vs Baselinesⓘ
EARLY SAMPLEAI vs Random vs Always Range
AI Model
5 / 13
Structured market forecast
Random
5 / 13
Chance-based direction
Always Range
4 / 13
Assumes sideways price action
The AI only has an edge if it consistently beats both baselines over time.
3 Active Forecasts
Next evaluation
~4h
Sample health
Accuracy over time
Recent independent outcomes · green = hit, red = miss · non-overlapping windows
Calibration bucketsⓘ
Predicted probability band vs how often that outcome actually occurred.
Calibration buckets unlock after 30 independent graded forecasts.
Public KPIs use independent (non-overlapping) forecasts. Directional accuracy = Bull/Bear call vs realized move; Range is not a hit.
Not financial advice. AI analysis from available market data.
